Kyrgyzstan vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
63.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyrgyzstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
KAZ
0 - 0
KGZ
85%
12%
4%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
TJK
1 - 0
KGZ
62%
20%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1994 |
TKM
5 - 1
KGZ
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
UZB
1 - 1
TJK
83%
12%
4%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1994 |
UZB
1 - 0
KAZ
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1994 |
UZB
4 - 0
TKM
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |