Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
EHI
0 - 0
KYO
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
KYO
2 - 3
JUB
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
KYO
1 - 1
FAG
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
ROA
1 - 4
KYO
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
JEF
3 - 0
KYO
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 3
FAG
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 1
AVI
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 0
TOC
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MIT
1 - 2
AVI
49%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
TOK
0 - 5
AVI
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |