Kuressaare vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
KUR
4 - 0
TJK
5%
10%
85%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
KUR
1 - 2
PAR
35%
22%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 4
KUR
70%
16%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
KUR
0 - 1
TRA
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FLO
7 - 0
KUR
93%
6%
1%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
KUR
1 - 2
PAR
35%
22%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 4
KUR
70%
16%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
TAM
41%
23%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
TJK
5 - 2
PAR
83%
11%
6%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
TKA
2 - 3
PAR
17%
20%
63%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |