Ksar vs Garde Nationale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ksar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 2
KSA
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 0
KSA
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KSA
1 - 1
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
KSA
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
KSA
1 - 1
AEK
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Garde Nationale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GDN
1 - 0
CON
42%
25%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
GDN
63%
21%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
GDN
3 - 3
AEK
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SNI
0 - 0
GDN
56%
25%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GDN
1 - 3
ZEM
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |