Krnov vs Bílovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
10º
38
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krnov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
KRN
1 - 1
FPR
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
KRN
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
KRN
2 - 2
VAL
49%
21%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SOB
1 - 0
KRN
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIK
3 - 0
KRN
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bílovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MFK
0 - 0
BIL
67%
17%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BIL
2 - 3
JIS
52%
20%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FPR
2 - 1
BIL
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BIL
1 - 1
NOV
51%
20%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
BIL
35%
21%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |