Köln II vs Bielefeld Amatuere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 1
DIE
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
DIE
2 - 0
FCU
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
STP
2 - 0
DIE
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
DIE
2 - 1
HAM
40%
25%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
OSN
4 - 0
DIE
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bielefeld Amatuere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
WUP
0 - 1
BIE
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
KFC
4 - 0
BIE
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BIE
1 - 1
WOL
52%
23%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BIE
0 - 1
EBT
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
PRE
2 - 0
BIE
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |