Knockbreda vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
12º
12º
69
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
INS
2 - 1
KNO
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KNO
0 - 3
HAR
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
KNO
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KNO
1 - 4
ARD
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KNO
1 - 2
BAL
25%
23%
53%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 2
GLE
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
6 - 1
ARD
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 0
LOU
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 4
LOU
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |