Kleve vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
16º
15º
46
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 73 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 67 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 60 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 56 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 55 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 53 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 45 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 43 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 41 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 40 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 40 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 38 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 38 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 36 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 35 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 30 |
18º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kleve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 0
KLE
34%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
KLE
1 - 0
SCH
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 1
KLE
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
KLE
1 - 3
MFC
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
KLE
0 - 2
SWE
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 0
TDV
25%
24%
52%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TEU
1 - 1
VFB
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPR
1 - 1
VFB
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
KFC
2 - 1
VFB
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 0
SFB
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |