Esiliiga Round 19

Kiviõli Irbis vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis

Kiviõli Irbis Vaprus Pärnu
43 ELO 56
47.2% Tilt 36%
24341º General ELO ranking 2251º
121º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
21.9%
Kiviõli Irbis
18.9%
Draw
59.1%
Vaprus Pärnu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
Kiviõli Irbis
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
59.1%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Kiviõli Irbis
Vaprus Pärnu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kiviõli Irbis
Kiviõli Irbis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2014
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
7 - 1
Kiviõli Irbis
KIV
72%
16%
13%
41 53 12 0
02 Jul. 2014
KIV
Kiviõli Irbis
15 - 0
Saku Sporting
SSP
87%
9%
5%
41 21 20 0
15 Jun. 2014
KIV
Kiviõli Irbis
2 - 2
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
51%
21%
28%
41 46 5 0
11 Jun. 2014
RAK
Rakvere JK Tarvas
1 - 1
Kiviõli Irbis
KIV
68%
17%
15%
41 51 10 0
01 Jun. 2014
KIV
Kiviõli Irbis
3 - 2
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
19%
20%
61%
39 61 22 +2

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu
Vaprus Pärnu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2014
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
2 - 3
Tulevik Viljandi
TUL
73%
15%
11%
57 49 8 0
02 Jul. 2014
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
5 - 0
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
71%
17%
13%
57 50 7 0
15 Jun. 2014
FCP
FC Puuma
1 - 3
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
10%
15%
75%
57 31 26 0
11 Jun. 2014
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
5 - 2
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
37%
24%
39%
55 61 6 +2
01 Jun. 2014
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
0 - 4
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
27%
22%
51%
54 48 6 +1