Kirchheim/Teck vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchheim/Teck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 1
KIR
75%
17%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
KIR
2 - 2
VIL
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 1
KIR
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HOF
1 - 1
KIR
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
KIR
2 - 3
STU
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 2
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ULM
2 - 0
FRE
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 1
VFR
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
AST
1 - 3
FRE
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
FRE
4 - 0
FRE
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |