KMC vs Mbeya Kwanza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SIM
3 - 1
KMC
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
KMC
1 - 1
TAN
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
KMC
3 - 0
MBE
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
RUV
1 - 1
KMC
34%
30%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
KMC
3 - 2
MTI
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mbeya Kwanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 0
MKF
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
MKF
2 - 0
KAG
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
YOU
4 - 0
MKF
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
MKF
0 - 1
GGF
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
NAM
3 - 0
MKF
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |