KMC vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 1
KMC
37%
31%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
KMC
0 - 2
YOU
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
COA
0 - 0
KMC
30%
30%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
POL
2 - 0
KMC
36%
31%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
KMC
1 - 0
IFC
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
KAG
1 - 0
MTI
46%
29%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 0
MBE
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 1
KAG
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 1
YOU
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
COA
3 - 1
KAG
31%
30%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |