SPL Round 5

Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren analysis

Kilmarnock St. Mirren
69 ELO 75
-0.5% Tilt 2.6%
529º General ELO ranking 583º
10º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
30.4%
Kilmarnock
23.7%
Draw
45.9%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.9%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kilmarnock
-6%
+7%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

Kilmarnock
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 1902
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
Rangers
GLA
21%
21%
58%
69 83 14 0
13 Dec. 1902
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 2
Dundee
DUN
37%
25%
38%
70 73 3 -1
06 Dec. 1902
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
69%
18%
13%
69 82 13 +1
29 Nov. 1902
GLA
Rangers
5 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
79%
13%
8%
70 83 13 -1
22 Nov. 1902
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 3
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
26%
24%
51%
70 81 11 0

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 1902
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 2
Third Lanark
TLA
63%
19%
18%
75 75 0 0
13 Dec. 1902
STM
St. Mirren
3 - 1
Celtic
CEL
30%
23%
47%
74 83 9 +1
06 Dec. 1902
TLA
Third Lanark
6 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
58%
20%
22%
75 74 1 -1
29 Nov. 1902
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
35%
25%
40%
74 83 9 +1
22 Nov. 1902
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Rangers
GLA
28%
22%
50%
75 83 8 -1