Kidlington vs Welwyn Garden City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
11º
10º
52
8º
20º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidlington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
KID
0 - 4
BER
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BIG
2 - 2
KID
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KID
1 - 2
WAL
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
KEM
0 - 1
KID
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
3 - 0
KID
69%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Welwyn Garden City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 1
THA
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
WEL
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 1
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 2
HIG
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 1
WEL
44%
22%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |