Conference North Round 19

Kidderminster Harriers vs Southport analysis

Kidderminster Harriers Southport
39 ELO 48
4.4% Tilt -3.5%
3847º General ELO ranking 6599º
99º Country ELO ranking 230º
ELO win probability
33%
Kidderminster Harriers
25.3%
Draw
41.7%
Southport

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
Kidderminster Harriers
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.7%
Win probability
Southport
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kidderminster Harriers
+6%
-11%
Southport

ELO progression

Kidderminster Harriers
Southport
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kidderminster Harriers
Kidderminster Harriers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2019
CUR
Curzon Ashton
3 - 0
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
33%
24%
44%
41 34 7 0
05 Nov. 2019
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
2 - 4
Kings Lynn Town
KIN
28%
24%
49%
42 49 7 -1
02 Nov. 2019
YOR
York City
1 - 1
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
73%
18%
10%
42 53 11 0
30 Oct. 2019
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 0
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
49%
25%
27%
42 44 2 0
22 Oct. 2019
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
2 - 0
Farsley Celtic
FAR
15%
19%
66%
39 51 12 +3

Matches

Southport
Southport
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2019
COL
Colne FC
2 - 3
Southport
SOU
37%
26%
36%
46 43 3 0
16 Nov. 2019
SOU
Southport
1 - 2
Kings Lynn Town
KIN
35%
24%
41%
47 50 3 -1
09 Nov. 2019
SPE
Spennymoor Town
1 - 0
Southport
SOU
54%
23%
23%
48 48 0 -1
02 Nov. 2019
SOU
Southport
4 - 1
Leamington
LEA
69%
19%
12%
47 39 8 +1
26 Oct. 2019
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
0 - 3
Southport
SOU
21%
24%
55%
46 33 13 +1