Kidderminster Harriers vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
KID
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
STA
1 - 0
KID
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GAT
0 - 1
KID
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
KID
0 - 2
KET
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
KID
1 - 0
CUR
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
KID
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NAN
0 - 1
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
HER
3 - 0
STN
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
FYL
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +2 |