Moen vs Oostnieuwkerke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
9º
28
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 3
KFM
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oostnieuwkerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OOS
0 - 1
SAS
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
OOS
3 - 1
ZNB
48%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
KWL
3 - 1
OOS
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 0
OOS
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
OOS
0 - 2
WIE
11%
18%
72%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |