Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
10º
10º
51
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 0
KEF
67%
19%
13%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 1
WEX
21%
23%
57%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 1
LON
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 1
KEF
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 1
TRE
20%
23%
56%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +5 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
BRW
0 - 1
LON
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
BRW
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
BRW
1 - 0
ATH
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 0
BRW
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
BRW
3 - 1
COB
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |