Greek Super League Round 5

Kavala vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis

Kavala Aris Thessaloniki
68 ELO 76
3% Tilt 7.5%
3803º General ELO ranking 473º
42º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.2%
Kavala
27.9%
Draw
35.9%
Aris Thessaloniki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
Kavala
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.9%
Win probability
Aris Thessaloniki
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Kavala
Aris Thessaloniki
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kavala
Kavala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 1998
ION
Ionikos Nikea
4 - 2
Kavala
AOK
66%
20%
14%
67 76 9 0
13 Sep. 1998
AOK
Kavala
1 - 1
PAOK
PAO
22%
24%
54%
67 81 14 0
30 Aug. 1998
ETH
Ethnikos Asteras
3 - 2
Kavala
AOK
45%
25%
30%
67 64 3 0
23 Aug. 1998
AOK
Kavala
2 - 1
Proodeftiki FC
PRO
55%
24%
22%
67 65 2 0
17 May. 1998
AOK
Kavala
4 - 0
Panachaiki
PAN
53%
25%
22%
67 66 1 0

Matches

Aris Thessaloniki
Aris Thessaloniki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 1998
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
2 - 1
Panionios
PAN
59%
24%
17%
76 68 8 0
13 Sep. 1998
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
1 - 1
Ionikos Nikea
ION
45%
27%
28%
76 77 1 0
29 Aug. 1998
PAO
PAOK
1 - 4
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
65%
21%
14%
75 81 6 +1
23 Aug. 1998
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
2 - 0
Ethnikos Asteras
ETH
63%
22%
15%
75 65 10 0
08 Jun. 1998
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
3 - 1
Ethnikos Asteras
ETH
61%
23%
16%
75 66 9 0