Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
KAR
0 - 0
SHI
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
FCT
1 - 3
KAR
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
KAR
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SHO
3 - 2
KAR
14%
24%
62%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
KAR
1 - 1
URA
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
SAG
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
VEG
0 - 3
SAG
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
SAG
0 - 0
NAG
31%
27%
43%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SAG
2 - 2
SHO
55%
24%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SHO
0 - 0
SAG
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |