Karviná vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
8º
1º
43
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SPI
4 - 2
KAR
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KAR
5 - 0
DUK
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
SOB
0 - 2
KAR
10%
17%
74%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
KAR
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KAR
1 - 0
OPA
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
2 - 2
CHR
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
1 - 1
SLO
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
6 - 0
SLO
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
2 - 0
SPA
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VYS
2 - 0
SLO
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |