Alliance FC vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
41
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 2
FCE
14%
21%
65%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCE
3 - 0
JKJ
82%
13%
6%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
FLO
6 - 1
JKJ
91%
7%
3%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 0
JKJ
84%
11%
6%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
JKJ
2 - 3
FCT
11%
18%
72%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
PAI
2 - 0
TJK
39%
22%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 5
TAB
26%
21%
53%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
VJK
2 - 0
PAI
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 3
PAI
74%
15%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 3
NOM
21%
20%
59%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |