Juventus vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
UDI
1 - 1
JUV
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
72%
15%
13%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
NAP
2 - 1
JUV
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
JUV
2 - 0
GEN
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BOL
3 - 2
JUV
36%
23%
41%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
ROM
1 - 2
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
ATL
2 - 0
ROM
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
USA
0 - 0
ROM
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
ROM
3 - 1
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BAR
2 - 3
ROM
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |