Juventus vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
MAC
40%
24%
36%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 1
LAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 3
JUV
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
LPO
1 - 1
JUV
33%
27%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
FIO
37%
28%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 1
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
UDI
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
INT
5 - 2
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |