EC Juventude vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 1
JUV
42%
26%
31%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
TUP
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
JUV
79%
16%
5%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AIM
1 - 1
JUV
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAC
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAD
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
RIO
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |