Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 1-2
Juventud Alianza vs San Miguel San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ACJ
1 - 1
JUV
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 0
SPO
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
JUV
19%
26%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACJ
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
JUV
24%
24%
53%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
San Miguel San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
SLU
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
5 - 0
SPC
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SLU
4 - 1
CAS
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 1
CAS
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |