Juvenes / Dogana vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 1
JUV
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
JUV
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 5
JUV
23%
24%
54%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 2
TFI
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FAE
2 - 1
TFI
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
TFI
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
5 - 0
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
4 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |