Juvenes / Dogana vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 0
JUV
54%
23%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
DOM
0 - 2
JUV
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 1
TPE
8%
17%
75%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DOM
0 - 2
JUV
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 3
DOM
19%
20%
61%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
0 - 1
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
3 - 1
FAE
30%
23%
48%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FAE
0 - 1
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 1
FIO
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |