Apertura Colombia Temporada regular. Jor. 17

Junior vs Millonarios analysis

Junior Millonarios
79 ELO 80
-9.8% Tilt -14.9%
325º General ELO ranking 324º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.5%
Junior
26.8%
Draw
36.7%
Millonarios

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
Junior
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.7%
Win probability
Millonarios
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Junior
+12%
-1%
Millonarios

Points and table prediction

Junior
Their league position
Millonarios
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
20º
38
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Águilas Doradas
39
39
100%
Millonarios
38
38
100%
At. Nacional
35
35
100%
América de Cali
32
32
100%
Alianza FC
30
30
0%
Boyacá Chicó
30
30
0%
Independiente Medellín
29
29
0%
Deportivo Pasto
29
29
0%
Junior
28
28
100%
Santa Fe
10º
26
26
10º
100%
La Equidad
11º
26
26
11º
100%
Deportivo Pereira
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Deportes Tolima
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Deportivo Cali
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Envigado
16º
20
20
15º
0%
Atlético Bucaramanga
15º
20
20
16º
0%
Once Caldas
17º
20
20
17º
0%
Jaguares FC
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Unión Magdalena
19º
19
19
19º
100%
Atlético Huila
20º
18
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Junior
Millonarios
Final Series
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Junior
Millonarios
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Junior
Junior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2023
CAL
Deportivo Cali
3 - 2
Junior
JUN
29%
29%
42%
79 70 9 0
23 Apr. 2023
JUN
Junior
1 - 0
Jaguares FC
JAG
59%
24%
17%
78 67 11 +1
16 Apr. 2023
TOL
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
Junior
JUN
51%
27%
23%
78 80 2 0
14 Apr. 2023
JUN
Junior
1 - 1
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
54%
26%
20%
77 72 5 +1
11 Apr. 2023
NAC
At. Nacional
0 - 1
Junior
JUN
59%
23%
18%
77 80 3 0

Matches

Millonarios
Millonarios
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2023
MIL
Millonarios
4 - 3
América de Cali
AME
56%
25%
19%
80 73 7 0
24 Apr. 2023
UNI
Unión Magdalena
1 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
21%
25%
54%
80 67 13 0
21 Apr. 2023
PEÑ
Peñarol
0 - 2
Millonarios
MIL
42%
26%
32%
81 82 1 -1
12 Apr. 2023
HUI
Atlético Huila
1 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
13%
24%
63%
80 59 21 +1
09 Apr. 2023
MIL
Millonarios
2 - 1
Independiente Medellín
IND
49%
26%
25%
80 77 3 0
X