Apertura Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Junior vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
JUN
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
JUN
0 - 1
HUI
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUN
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JUN
1 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
JUN
1 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 2
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MIL
3 - 1
IND
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
IND
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
ALI
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
ENV
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |