Junior vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EQU
2 - 2
JUN
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUN
3 - 2
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 3
JUN
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
JUN
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
JUN
1 - 1
CAL
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
CAL
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
IND
33%
29%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
QUI
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |