Junior vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
JUN
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
JUN
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BUC
3 - 0
JUN
28%
29%
43%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 2
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MIL
4 - 1
ENV
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ENV
3 - 1
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ONC
2 - 0
ENV
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 0
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |