JS Hercules vs Kuopion Elo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
52.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+105%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
8º
7º
23
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
TP4
3 - 2
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
OPS
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
GBK
11%
17%
72%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SJJ
4 - 4
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
JBK
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Kuopion Elo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 3
SJJ
35%
21%
45%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
OPS
2 - 2
KUO
33%
21%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
0 - 2
TP4
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 2
KUO
50%
20%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
3 - 3
JPS
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |