Joinville vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
JEC
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 0
ESP
49%
27%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 1
JEC
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
JEC
2 - 0
CAX
34%
30%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
AIM
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
RIO
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 4
CAS
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
AIM
1 - 0
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |