Joinville vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
ANA
4 - 2
JEC
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ECN
1 - 0
JEC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
JEC
0 - 1
ANA
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1982 |
JEC
3 - 0
ECN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
JEC
0 - 3
ISM
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
ISM
2 - 2
LON
29%
28%
42%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1982 |
LON
1 - 0
ANA
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
LON
3 - 0
ISM
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
ANA
3 - 1
LON
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
ECN
3 - 0
LON
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |