Joinville vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
JEC
78%
17%
5%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 0
JEC
73%
18%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
BRU
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 2
JEC
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MET
3 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
6%
15%
79%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 0
HER
56%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CRI
3 - 1
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
TUB
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |