Catarinense 1 . Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Joinville vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
JEC
0 - 1
CRI
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 0
JEC
71%
19%
9%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 3
JEC
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
FFL
1 - 0
BRU
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 1
BRU
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BRU
1 - 1
CAC
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CRI
1 - 3
BRU
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
BRU
5 - 1
REM
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |