Q. Europa League Primera Ronda. Final
Global 2-2
Jeunesse d'Esch vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jeunesse d'Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
STP
1 - 0
JEU
55%
22%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 2
JEU
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
JEU
6 - 4
LXC
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
JEU
5 - 0
RAC
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UNA
2 - 1
JEU
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
STP
1 - 0
JEU
55%
22%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 0
STP
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
STP
0 - 2
SHR
43%
27%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BOH
5 - 1
STP
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
STP
8 - 0
PIR
91%
8%
2%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |