Jerez vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+444%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
PLA
1 - 0
JER
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
JER
3 - 2
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
MIA
1 - 5
JER
28%
30%
42%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1992 |
MER
2 - 0
JER
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
JER
2 - 0
CDB
67%
21%
12%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
VIL
3 - 1
UDF
69%
20%
11%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
UDF
1 - 1
CDB
23%
28%
49%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
MON
6 - 0
UDF
73%
18%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
UDF
2 - 0
TAL
62%
22%
16%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
CDM
0 - 0
UDF
43%
27%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |