Jerez vs Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
5º
53
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
3 - 0
JER
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JER
0 - 0
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 4
JER
28%
25%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JER
3 - 2
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 3
JER
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 1
UDF
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 2
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOR
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 3
OLI
49%
24%
26%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 1
TRU
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |