Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Jerez Industrial vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
SEV
3 - 0
JER
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
JER
2 - 2
DBN
58%
23%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
UCL
1 - 1
JER
39%
28%
34%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
JER
2 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
MOR
4 - 2
JER
39%
29%
33%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
SFE
0 - 0
AGD
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
AGD
2 - 1
PUE
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
FCA
2 - 3
AGD
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
AGD
8 - 1
REU
75%
18%
7%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
PUE
4 - 1
AGD
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |