JDR Stars vs Baroka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
15º
6º
36
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDR Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
JDR
1 - 0
PCF
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 0
JDR
28%
23%
50%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
JDR
1 - 0
TTM
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 0
JDR
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
JDR
2 - 0
VFA
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 3
BAR
38%
28%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 1
PCR
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
POL
0 - 0
BAR
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NBM
4 - 2
BAR
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
CST
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |