Tuxtla FC vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuxtla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
JAG
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
JAG
4 - 1
TEC
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
LOB
2 - 0
JAG
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
JAG
2 - 2
MEX
35%
28%
38%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
LOB
3 - 0
JAG
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
DUR
0 - 0
LOB
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 1
DUR
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
DUR
3 - 2
TIJ
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 5
DUR
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 4
DUR
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |