Jaguares FC vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
59%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
IND
1 - 1
JAG
80%
14%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
SFE
18%
27%
55%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
JAG
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
0 - 0
CAL
14%
23%
64%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
JAG
2 - 0
EQU
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 1
ALI
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CUC
0 - 3
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 2
MIL
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PER
0 - 0
TOL
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |