Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs 1/32
Global 2-4
Jaguares FC vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 4
ENV
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
PAS
0 - 1
JAG
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
JAG
0 - 1
BUC
45%
29%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
JAG
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
4 - 0
JAG
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BOS
0 - 3
FEN
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 0
BOS
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 1
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 0
BOS
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 0
ATE
45%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |