Jacobina vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 2
ALA
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
SDJ
2 - 0
JEC
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
3 - 2
JAC
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BAH
3 - 0
JEC
88%
10%
2%
|
38 | 78 | 40 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BAH
2 - 2
JEC
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
SDJ
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 3
VIT
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 3
BAH
12%
22%
67%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 0
JEQ
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 2
VIT
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |