Jacobina vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
JEC
93%
6%
1%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
JAC
4 - 0
JEC
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
AEC
1 - 2
JEC
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 2
FLU
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 0
BAH
4%
11%
86%
|
37 | 76 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLU
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
3 - 0
VIT
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
JAC
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
6 - 1
VIT
82%
13%
4%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 2
SDJ
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |