Jablonec vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
16º
11º
68
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JAB
1 - 1
BAN
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ZLI
2 - 2
JAB
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JAB
2 - 3
SLP
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MBO
2 - 2
JAB
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
JAB
0 - 3
BOH
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
BOH
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MBO
1 - 3
SPA
30%
24%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 0
SIG
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ESK
0 - 2
SPA
22%
24%
55%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 2
SLI
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |