J. Malucelli vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
70.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 1
JMA
72%
18%
9%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LON
1 - 1
JMA
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
JMA
5 - 0
TCW
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
JMA
5 - 0
POL
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
COT
1 - 3
JMA
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
ATP
1 - 0
CIA
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
IGU
1 - 8
ATP
6%
14%
80%
|
82 | 35 | 47 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ATP
1 - 0
LON
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ATP
4 - 0
ACP
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ATP
3 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |