Iztapa vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
12º
10º
30
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
25.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
COM
4 - 2
IZT
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
IZT
2 - 1
ANT
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
COB
2 - 0
IZT
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
IZT
2 - 2
TOR
48%
25%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 0
IZT
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SLC
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
ACH
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
GUA
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
ANT
43%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COB
0 - 0
GUA
48%
29%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |